SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Nacional |
31.16% ( -0.07) | 27.35% ( -0.01) | 41.49% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.46% ( 0.02) | 56.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.47% ( 0.01) | 77.53% ( -0.02) |
| Deportivo Tachira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( -0.04) | 33.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( -0.05) | 69.86% ( 0.04) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( 0.05) | 26.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( 0.07) | 62.14% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.48% |
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