Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
