Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 15.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Penarol |
63.88% (![]() | 20.59% (![]() | 15.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.41% (![]() | 44.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.04% (![]() | 66.96% (![]() |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.73% (![]() | 13.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.94% (![]() | 40.06% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.53% (![]() | 41.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.03% (![]() | 77.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Penarol |
2-0 @ 11.22% 1-0 @ 11.11% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 63.87% | 1-1 @ 9.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.59% | 0-1 @ 4.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.53% |
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