Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
