Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Equidad win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Equidad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
