Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guabira and Montevideo City Torque.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.47%) and 1-3 (4.9%). The likeliest Guabira win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.