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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Gilberto Parada

Guabira
0 - 4
Torque


Supayabe (23'), Quiroga (46'), Andres Chore Aguilera (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Del Prete (2'), Pizzichillo (24'), Teuten (48'), Alvarez (52')
Pereira (69')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guabira and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.47%) and 1-3 (4.9%). The likeliest Guabira win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
GuabiraDrawMontevideo City Torque
37.39%22.34%40.27%
Both teams to score 67.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.55%32.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.91%54.09%
Guabira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.82%18.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.83%49.17%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97%47.02%
Score Analysis
    Guabira 37.39%
    Montevideo City Torque 40.27%
    Draw 22.34%
GuabiraDrawMontevideo City Torque
2-1 @ 7.95%
1-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 4.52%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 2.54%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 37.39%
1-1 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 7.05%
0-0 @ 3.08%
3-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-1 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-2 @ 4.85%
2-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 2.17%
2-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.27%
3-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 40.27%

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