Botafogo are enjoying a remarkable season even at this early stage of proceedings, with Lage's side in pole position to win their third domestic crown as well as progress to the last eight of the Copa Sudamericana.
Patronato appear unlikely to bounce back to Argentina's Primera Division at the first time of asking, and we can envisage them falling to another 2-0 defeat to crash out of South American football here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
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