SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Olimpia |
38.98% ( -0.09) | 27.06% ( -0.02) | 33.96% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% ( 0.07) | 54.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( 0.06) | 76.09% ( -0.06) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( -0.02) | 27.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( -0.02) | 62.87% ( 0.02) |
| Olimpia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( 0.1) | 30.43% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( 0.12) | 66.64% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | Olimpia |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 33.96% |
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