While unbeaten Botafogo have kept three clean sheets in their last four Copa Sudamericana matches, winless Magallanes have conceded at a rate of more than two goals per game this year.
With that in mind, we expect Botafogo to cap off their impressive group-stage campaign by notching a comfortable shutout victory over Magallanes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 70.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
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