SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 10.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Estudiantes Merida win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
74.63% ( 0.25) | 15.33% ( -0.15) | 10.04% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.46% ( 0.43) | 33.54% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.66% ( 0.48) | 55.35% ( -0.48) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.4% ( 0.15) | 7.6% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.81% ( 0.39) | 27.19% ( -0.39) |
| Estudiantes Merida Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.1) | 42.92% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.77% ( 0.09) | 79.23% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Estudiantes Merida |
| 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 74.63% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.33% | 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
