Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Merida win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Merida win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
