When you couple Santos' poor recent form with Botafogo's remarkable record this season, all the signs point towards another clean-sheet victory for the runaway leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 42.18%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.65%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Santos	Draw	Botafogo
42.18% ( -0.89)	30.49% ( 0.18)	27.32% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 39.01% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.1% (

-0.24)

67.9% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.13% (

-0.16)

85.87% (

0.16)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

-0.64)

32.05% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

-0.74)

68.52% (

0.74)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41% (

0.48)

42.59% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.05% (

0.41)

78.95% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Santos 42.18%

Botafogo 27.32%

Draw 30.49%

Santos	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 15.53% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.18%	0-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.13) 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.49%	0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.1% Total : 27.32%