Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Guairena win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
