Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Sao Paulo
37%	28.28%	34.73%

Both teams to score 46.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.7%

59.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.3%

79.7%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24%

30.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97%

67.03%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79%

32.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3%

68.71%

Score Analysis

Everton 37%

Sao Paulo 34.72%

Draw 28.27%

Everton	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.22% Total : 37%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.72%