Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Ayacucho had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Ayacucho win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Everton in this match.
