Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
