Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Metropolitanos
44.54%	23.33%	32.12%

Both teams to score 62.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.2%

38.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.89%

61.11%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.19%

17.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.47%

48.53%

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2%

23.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.04%

57.96%

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 44.54%

Metropolitanos 32.12%

Draw 23.32%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Metropolitanos
2-1 @ 9.06% 1-0 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-2 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.86% Total : 44.54%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.24% 3-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 7.54% 0-1 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.12%