SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | San Lorenzo |
42.94% ( 0.21) | 29.5% ( 0.02) | 27.56% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 41.47% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.13) | 64.96% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.14% ( -0.09) | 83.86% ( 0.09) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( 0.06) | 30.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( 0.07) | 66.24% ( -0.06) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.33% ( -0.27) | 40.67% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.74% ( -0.24) | 77.26% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 14.69% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.49% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.3% Total : 27.56% |
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