SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Melgar |
49.98% ( 0.03) | 23.32% ( -0.01) | 26.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.95% ( 0.05) | 42.05% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% ( 0.05) | 64.46% ( -0.05) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.03) | 16.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.94% ( 0.05) | 47.06% ( -0.05) |
| Melgar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( 0.02) | 29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.1% ( 0.02) | 64.91% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Melgar |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 4.07% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.7% |
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