Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
