Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Carius (14', 52'), Aranda (57')
Cabral (8'), Gonzalez (44'), Arguello (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Tacuary and Oriente Petrolero.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tacuary win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tacuary win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tacuary would win this match.
| Result |
| Tacuary | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
41.22% ( 0.03) | 27.92% ( 0) | 30.86% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -0.02) |
| 41.3% ( -0.02) | 58.7% ( 0.02) |
| 20.76% ( -0.02) | 79.24% ( 0.02) |
| 71.99% ( 0.01) | 28.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.35% ( 0.01) | 63.65% ( -0.01) |
| 65.4% ( -0.03) | 34.6% ( 0.03) |
