SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 10.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
71.84% ( -0.12) | 17.83% ( 0.02) | 10.33% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.53% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.23) | 44.74% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 0.22) | 67.1% ( -0.22) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( 0.03) | 11.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.52% ( 0.07) | 35.48% ( -0.07) |
| Oriente Petrolero Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.35) | 49.91% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.4% ( 0.24) | 84.6% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bragantino | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
| 2-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 71.83% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 17.83% | 0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 10.33% |
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