SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
| 47.07% | 21.99% | 30.94% |
| Both teams to score 67.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.26% | 32.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.58% | 54.42% |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% | 14.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.45% | 42.54% |
| Oriente Petrolero Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% | 21.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-3 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 3.13% 3-3 @ 2.26% Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-1 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.54% Total : 30.94% |
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