SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Oriente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guabira | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
69.18% ( 1.01) | 18.98% ( -0.36) | 11.84% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 45.91% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( 0.01) | 45.74% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( 0.01) | 68.06% ( -0) |
| Guabira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( 0.28) | 12.09% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.36% ( 0.59) | 37.64% ( -0.59) |
| Oriente Petrolero Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.22% ( -1.08) | 47.78% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.94% ( -0.81) | 83.07% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guabira | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
| 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 69.17% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.98% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.66% Total : 11.84% |
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