Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
