Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.