Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.