Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.