Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
