Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
