Lanus
1 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Bernabei (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mancuello (76'), de los Santos (89')
Perez (15'), Nicolas Mulet (48'), Perez (65'), Sand (69')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Lanus win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
31.73%	25.61%	42.66%

Both teams to score 54.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6%

49.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.55%

71.44%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78%

29.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83%

65.17%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96%

23.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14%

56.86%

Score Analysis

Lanus 31.73%

Velez Sarsfield 42.66%

Draw 25.61%

Lanus	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 8.28% 2-1 @ 7.48% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.73%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.73% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.66%