Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
