We said: AC Milan 0-1 Inter Milan
After cruising through to this stage with wins over Genoa and Lazio in the previous rounds, Milan have since started to falter in the league - but they now meet an Inter side that suffered an even worse case of February blues.
However, the combination of a lust for revenge following their recent Derby loss and the improbability of their winless run stretching to a fifth straight match should see Inzaghi's men edge it.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
