They may have been held by struggling opponents last week, but having racked up league goals at an average of two per game this term, Milan are almost certain to score against a far from watertight Udinese back three.
Perhaps more pertinently, the Rossoneri have kept successive clean sheets in their last three league and cup games as hosts, so the Tomori-Romagnoli partnership has been particularly effective on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
