Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Sassuolo |
45.33% ( 0.73) | 24.45% ( 0.26) | 30.21% ( -0.99) |
Both teams to score 57.65% ( -1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% ( -1.65) | 44.93% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% ( -1.61) | 67.28% ( 1.61) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% ( -0.36) | 19.94% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% ( -0.58) | 52.09% ( 0.58) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72% ( -1.47) | 28% ( 1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.36% ( -1.91) | 63.64% ( 1.91) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.21% |
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