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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
SL

Cagliari
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Lapadula (90+4'), Pavoletti (90+9')
Goldaniga (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Erlic (7')
Lauriente (9'), Ruan (35'), Erlic (42'), Consigli (69'), Mulattieri (90+5'), Thorstvedt (90+3')
Ruan (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, December 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-2 Sassuolo

Another high-scoring game between these two could be in the offing, with neither Cagliari nor Sassuolo landing a decisive blow in Sardinia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSassuolo
45.33% (0.734 0.73) 24.45% (0.258 0.26) 30.21% (-0.992 -0.99)
Both teams to score 57.65% (-1.436 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (-1.651 -1.65)44.93% (1.651 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-1.607 -1.61)67.28% (1.607 1.61)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)19.94% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-0.579 -0.58)52.09% (0.579 0.58)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-1.466 -1.47)28% (1.467 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (-1.905 -1.91)63.64% (1.906 1.91)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.33%
    Sassuolo 30.21%
    Draw 24.44%
CagliariDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 9% (0.531 0.53)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.352 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 45.33%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.387 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.213 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, December 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 26 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Genoa
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cagliari 4-3 Frosinone
Sunday, October 29 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
Sunday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-2 Salernitana
Friday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-0 Spezia (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, November 2 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna
Saturday, October 28 at 2pm in Serie A


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