SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Atalanta BC |
25.47% ( 1.4) | 22.43% ( -0.09) | 52.1% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 60.88% ( 1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.03% ( 1.8) | 38.97% ( -1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.71% ( 1.87) | 61.29% ( -1.87) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( 2.07) | 28.3% ( -2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( 2.54) | 64.02% ( -2.55) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( 0.19) | 15.09% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% ( 0.37) | 43.64% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.54% Total : 25.47% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.27)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.65)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 52.1% |
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