Neither side has proved themselves secure defensively over recent weeks, and their respective strengths certainly lie in attack - so it could be an open affair. While Sassuolo have benefited from a whole week to prepare, it has been another quick turnaround for Atalanta, who may ultimately be grateful to leave the Mapei Stadium with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Atalanta BC
26.21%	22.26%	51.53%

Both teams to score 62.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.54%

37.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.32%

59.68%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05%

26.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72%

62.28%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.25%

14.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.03%

42.97%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 26.21%

Atalanta BC 51.53%

Draw 22.26%

Sassuolo	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.54% 1-0 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.02% Total : 26.21%	1-1 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 3.97% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.26%	1-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 6.09% 0-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 3.99% 1-4 @ 2.92% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.2% Total : 51.53%