With more momentum behind them than their misfiring hosts, Torino can build on a good away record this term - they have lost on just four of 12 road trips so far - to reach the semi-finals. Both teams are capable of keeping things tight, but Fiorentina are vulnerable to the odd lapse and will crash out on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Torino had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
-0.36) 
0.06) 
