SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Monza had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
65.87% ( 0.06) | 18.7% ( 0.09) | 15.43% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.01% ( -0.72) | 35.99% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.91% ( -0.8) | 58.09% ( 0.8) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% ( -0.18) | 10.2% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.52% ( -0.42) | 33.48% ( 0.43) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.63) | 36.26% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( -0.65) | 73.04% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.05% Total : 65.87% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 15.43% |
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