Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
47.25% ( 0.08) | 25.47% ( -0.04) | 27.28% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.03% ( 0.13) | 50.97% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.16% ( 0.12) | 72.84% ( -0.12) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% ( 0.09) | 21.58% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.33% ( 0.14) | 54.66% ( -0.14) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( 0.04) | 33.24% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% ( 0.04) | 69.85% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.24% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.28% |
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