Given these two sides' respective league positions, we expect Fiorentina to take this cup tie much more seriously and produce a comfortable victory to reach the quarter-finals of this competition for the 11th time in 13 seasons.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
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