Either side has had their struggles in the final third this season, after both previously earned a reputation for attack-minded football and guaranteed goals. It could therefore be a tight contest at the Franchi, where the home side are set to come out on top thanks to their greater depth of individual talent and potential game-changers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
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