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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
FL

Roma
2 - 0
Fiorentina

Dybala (40', 82')
Smalling (15'), Kumbulla (55'), Bove (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dodo (4'), Gonzalez (55'), Julio (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina

This one could go the distance: Roma have scored six of their last seven Serie A goals after the 80th minute, while Fiorentina have netted the most of any side in the 90th minute and beyond (five). As such, plenty of twists and turns may be in store, though the spoils are likely to end up being shared in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawFiorentina
44.35% (-1.102 -1.1) 26.68% (-0.12 -0.12) 28.96% (1.221 1.22)
Both teams to score 49.78% (1.095 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16% (1.048 1.05)54.84% (-1.049 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (0.86 0.86)76.13% (-0.86 -0.86)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)24.59% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (-0.107 -0.11)59.08% (0.105 0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (1.515 1.52)33.98% (-1.517 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34% (1.604 1.6)70.66% (-1.604 -1.6)
Score Analysis
    Roma 44.35%
    Fiorentina 28.96%
    Draw 26.68%
RomaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.191 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Roma
Sunday, January 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Bologna
Wednesday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Thursday, December 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Casa Pia
Monday, December 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Roma 0-3 Cadiz
Friday, December 16 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza
Wednesday, January 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 13 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Serie A


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