Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lecce.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Mantova |
42.92% (![]() | 23.84% (![]() | 33.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.17% (![]() | 40.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.78% (![]() | 63.21% (![]() |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% (![]() | 19.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.94% (![]() | 51.05% (![]() |
Mantova Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% (![]() | 24.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% (![]() | 58.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Mantova |
2-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 10.89% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.75% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.24% |
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