SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lecce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lecce.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Mantova |
42.92% ( -0.68) | 23.84% ( 0.25) | 33.24% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( -1.07) | 40.83% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( -1.1) | 63.21% ( 1.1) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( -0.73) | 19.3% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.94% ( -1.21) | 51.05% ( 1.2) |
| Mantova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.26) | 24.11% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( -0.37) | 58.41% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Mantova |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.27% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.24% |
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