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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 24, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
CL

Parma
3 - 4
Crotone

Hernani (29'), Gervinho (49'), Mihaila (54')
Brugman (56'), Cornelius (76'), Grassi (78')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Magallan (14'), Simy (42', 69' pen.), Ounas (45+1')
Messias (71'), Henrique (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawCrotone
51.79%24.06%24.16%
Both teams to score 53.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47%47.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27%69.74%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66%18.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.55%49.45%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03%33.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35%70.65%
Score Analysis
    Parma 51.78%
    Crotone 24.16%
    Draw 24.06%
ParmaDrawCrotone
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 51.78%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.73%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 24.16%

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