Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Parma had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
