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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 9, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
AL

Parma
2 - 5
Atalanta

Brunetta (78'), Sohm (88')
Grassi (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malinovskyi (12'), Pessina (52'), Muriel (77', 86'), Miranchuk (90+3')
Hateboer (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
13.63%17.72%68.65%
Both teams to score 56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.68%35.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.65%57.34%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77%38.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01%74.99%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.65%9.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.49%31.5%
Score Analysis
    Parma 13.63%
    Atalanta BC 68.64%
    Draw 17.72%
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.92%
1-0 @ 3.44%
2-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 13.63%
1-1 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 4.64%
0-0 @ 3.57%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.72%
0-2 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-1 @ 8.47%
0-3 @ 7.93%
1-3 @ 7.63%
0-4 @ 4.7%
1-4 @ 4.52%
2-3 @ 3.67%
0-5 @ 2.23%
2-4 @ 2.17%
1-5 @ 2.14%
2-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 68.64%

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