Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.