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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
SL

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (61')
Biraghi (44'), Martinez (58'), Italiano (58')
Biraghi (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Scamacca (32'), Frattesi (37')
Toljan (27'), Chiriches (54'), Traore (56'), Scamacca (59'), Frattesi (71')

We said: Fiorentina 3-2 Sassuolo

Expect goals in the Tuscan capital on Sunday lunchtime, as neither side prioritises their defensive duties and are generally focused on maximising the attacking talent at their disposal. In-form forwards such as Berardi, Raspadori, Gonzalez and Vlahovic should ensure an entertaining affair, which the home side may just edge - keeping their momentum rolling on into the final game of 2021. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.78%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
53.78%22.26%23.96%
Both teams to score 59.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32%39.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97%62.03%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22%14.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.96%43.04%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.95%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 53.78%
    Sassuolo 23.96%
    Draw 22.25%
FiorentinaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 6.21%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 53.78%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-1 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 23.96%

Read more!
Read more!


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