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Thursday, March 28
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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
UL

Cagliari
0 - 4
Udinese


Marin (40'), Henrique (43'), Bellanova (71')
Marin (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Makengo (4'), Deulofeu (45', 69'), Molina (50')
Deulofeu (70'), Becao (84')

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Udinese

While neither side are frequent scorers, the visitors should have more confidence in the final third given their recent results - netting 10 times in their last four league and cup outings. Nonetheless, Cagliari are tougher to beat on Sardinian soil, so can hold out for a hard-earned point if they find the net at some stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawUdinese
47.57%24.33%28.09%
Both teams to score 56.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39%45.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07%67.93%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73%19.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49%51%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18%29.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09%65.9%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 47.57%
    Udinese 28.09%
    Draw 24.32%
CagliariDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 47.57%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.95%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 28.09%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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