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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
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Zambia
0 - 1
Malawi


Chepeshi (36'), Kanguluma (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Katebe (17' og.)
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Malawi.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Malawi
Tuesday, June 20 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
ZambiaDrawMalawi
53.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 27.46% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 19.46% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 39.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.95% (-0.154 -0.15)64.05% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.78% (-0.111 -0.11)83.22% (0.10799999999999 0.11)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)24.56% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)59.05% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.81% (-0.157 -0.16)48.19% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63% (-0.115 -0.11)83.37% (0.11200000000001 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 53.07%
    Malawi 19.46%
    Draw 27.45%
ZambiaDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 16.61% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 11.83% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 19.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kuwait 3-0 Zambia
Monday, June 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Zambia
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 4-2 Zambia
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Zambia
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Malawi
Tuesday, June 20 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, June 14 at 9am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malawi 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Bangladesh 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, March 15 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Lesotho
Saturday, February 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies


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